Miami reports suggest Trump is heading for a suicidal "military adventure"

The research platform Misión Verdad (MV) points out among the possible analytical bases of the US advance a report published on June 16 by the Miami Institute of Strategic Intelligence ( MSI ) entitled "Current state of the Venezuelan air defense system ."

• Report link -> https://miastrategicintel.com/informe-estrategico-estado-actual-de-la-defensa-aerea-de-venezuela/

The MSI is part of a strong "pro-Miami" political movement, led by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and is responsible for pushing President Donald Trump to abandon his strategy of veiled threats and instead engage in kinetic aggression.

This organization points out that a potential military campaign in Bolivarian territory would be successful. To this end, the MSI focuses its analysis on the military capabilities of the Bolivarian air force . According to them, Venezuela's ability to defend its airspace is "depleted," which would allow a US military incursion without major difficulties.

Consequently, the document maintains that Venezuela " remains vulnerable to air raids, drug trafficking penetration, and regional collapse in the event of organized military pressure ." It also notes that the Bolivarian Navy is inoperative and the ground forces lack strategic mobility. " There are no logistics to deploy troops outside the country or to sustain an operation beyond the Caracas-Maracay axis . "

However, MV points out that due to "the brevity of the text and its poor construction," this document is "tailored for Trump" and is intended to convince the magnate of "the supposed 'piece of cake' that a military operation, or a series of airstrikes, against the Bolivarian Republic should entail."

A Miami “brain”

Misión Verdad reports that the mastermind behind the report, who is a member of the Strategic Intelligence Institute in Miami, is Jesús Romero , a retired U.S. Navy intelligence officer who was a specialist in the field for the Southern Command's Joint Task Force South.

In his career as a Navy officer and his performance as an interagency coordinator, he became the head of the Task Force in Guatemala , combining the services of the branch with the military-industrial and surveillance complex, being an analyst and partner of Booz Allen Hamilton and BAE Systems .

A significant fact is his direct relationship with Secretary of State Marco Rubio , who represents the direct interests of the opposition in Miami, determined to force President Donald Trump into a bloodbath against Venezuela in order to guarantee the geostrategic interests of the United States.

Fifth column

The report also refers to a possible insurgency in Venezuelan territory, which would be an orchestrated plan by foreign forces and terrorist forces operating, since it understands that "a structured opposition uprising with aviation or external support would easily overcome the regime's defenses in many regions, with the exception of Caracas."

This hypothesis has been put into play repeatedly in Venezuela, and each time it ended in the same outcome: failure. In this regard, Misión Verdad details that the theory of an internal uprising has been present since the first riots in 2007 and accelerated in 2024 when María Corina Machado proposed the tactical option of swarming .

However, "the Venezuelan government has demonstrated how these plans have had the support of the US FBI through arms trafficking for use by criminal gangs," the digital media outlet reports.

From the Caribbean Sea to the China Sea

A second report mentioned in the Misión Verdad article , prepared by the MSI, attempts to address a geopolitical assessment, linking the attack on a boat in the Caribbean Sea as a signal that the United States is sending to the Chinese government.

The report, titled “ Red Lines in the Caribbean: How Washington Sends Signals to Beijing Through Venezuela and Panama ,” offers an analysis of how the military deployment and the attack on the small boat reflect the U.S. determination not to abandon this geographic area.

With this document, the MSI presents as a success "the recent US naval attack on a Venezuelan vessel and the subsequent escalation of military deployments in the Caribbean are not isolated tactical actions directed solely against the Nicolás Maduro regime. They represent a broader demonstration of US resolve in the face of China's growing economic, technological, and geopolitical presence in the Western Hemisphere . "

However, what the Miami lobby presents as a naval attack on a ship was nothing more than an attack on a fishing boat, which has been questioned even by US legislators, such as Senator Chris Murphy.

The Chinese enemy

Another argument the Miami lobby uses to persuade the White House to invade the United States is based on the logic of "the friend of my enemy is my enemy." In this sense, the MSI report notes that "while overthrowing Maduro remains a short-term operational objective, the deeper strategic purpose of Washington's actions lies in signaling to Beijing that the United States is willing to deploy its hard power to defend its supremacy in the region . "

In this regard, the think tank highlights the US attack on a Venezuelan ship and the reinforcement of the naval presence in the Caribbean, in the sense that it sent a supposedly three-layered message : First, the alleged configuration of Maduro as the leader of a narco-state, something that not even the Western press believes anymore. But at the same time, this simple attack would have served to send a message at the intermediate level regarding the Panama Canal, in dispute with China following the extortion of Panamanian President Raúl Mulino by the Secretary of War, which determined the withdrawal of Chinese companies from the ports of the ISM.

Finally, it emphasizes that all of this serves as a message to Beijing, which for the MSI is "the true audience." " The United States is demonstrating that it will not give up its hemisphere, even at the risk of confrontation," the report concludes.

These ambitious arguments, according to MV, are documents that aim to sweeten the American leader in view of the midterm elections next year and "Rubio's ambitious and ill-disguised desperation, and his imperative need to gain some political support before all this, after failing to achieve any in other geopolitical theaters."

In this sense, the platform considers these types of documents to be a "crude confirmation bias" intended to "be the central resource to convince Trump of things that otherwise would not have convinced him."