ahahaha holy shit. I knew METR smelled a bit like AI doomsday cultists and took money from OpenPhil, but those "open source" projects and engineers? One of them was LessWrong.
Here's a LW site dev whining about the study, he was in it and i think he thinks it was unfair to AI
I think if people are citing in another 3 months time, they'll be making a mistake
dude $NEXT_VERSION will be so cool
so anyway, this study has gone mainstream! It was on CNBC! I urge you not to watch that unless you have a yearning need to know what the normies are hearing about this shit. In summary, they are hearing that AI coding isn't all that actually and may not do what the captains of industry want.
around 2:30 the two talking heads ran out of information and just started incorrecting each other on the fabulous AI future, like the worst work lunchroom debate ever but it's about AI becoming superhuman
the key takeaway for the non techie businessmen and investors who take CNBC seriously ever: the bubble starts not going so great