5 mo. ago • 82%

Why Is There an AI Hype? | The Luddite

An anticapitalist tech blog. Embrace the technology that liberates us. Smash that which does not.

Companies are training LLMs on all the data that they can find, but this data is not the world, but discourse about the world. The rank-and-file developers at these companies, in their naivete, do not see that distinction....So, as these LLMs become increasingly but asymptotically fluent, tantalizingly close to accuracy but ultimately incomplete, developers complain that they are short on data. They have their general purpose computer program, and if they only had the entire world in data form to shove into it, then it would be complete.

25 comments

That's easy. The people profiting from it are pushing it hard.

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- And other companies who had something half-baked just threw it out to both say "me too!" and to ingest as much user input training data in order to catch up.
  
  That's why "AI" is getting shoved into so many things right now. Not because it's useful but because they need to gobble up as much training data as they can in order to play catch up.
  
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- Going further, they're like magic. They're good at what takes up a lot of human time - researching unknown topics, acting as a sounding board, pumping out the fluff expected when communicating professionally.
  
  And they can do a lot more otherwise - they've opened so many doors for what software can do and how programmers work, but there's a real learning curve in figuring out how to tie them into conventional systems. They can smooth over endless tedious tasks
  
  None of those things will make ten trillion dollars. It could add trillions in productivity, but it's not going to make a trillion dollars for a company next year. It'll be spread out everywhere across the economy, unless one company can license it to the rest of the world
  
  And that's what FAANG and venture capitalists are demanding. They want something that'll create a tech titan, and they want it next quarter
  
  So here we are, with this miracle tech in its infancy. Instead of building on what LLMs are good at and letting them enable humans, they're being pitched as something that'd make ten trillion dollars - like a replacement for human workers
  
  And it sucks at that. So we have OpenAI closing it off and trying to track GPU usage and kill local AI (among other regulatory barriers to entry), we have Google and Microsoft making the current Internet suck so they're needed, and we have the industry in a race to build pure llm solutions when independent developers are doing more with orders of magnitude less
  
  Welcome to the worst timeline, AI edition
  
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It's this up and coming techbro generation's blockchain

The actual off the walls sci-fi shit this tech could maybe be capable of (an AI "third hemisphere" neural implant that catches the human mind up to the kind of mass calculation that it falls behind traditional computing on) is so far removed from what's currently supportable on commercial tech that it's all entirely speculation.

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this data is not the world

i think most ML researchers are aware that the data isn’t perfect, but, crucially, it exists in a digestible form.

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this data is not the world, but discourse about the world

To be fair, the things most people talk about are things they’ve read or heard of, not their own direct personal experiences. We’ve all been putting our faith in the accuracy of this “discourse about the world”, long before LLMs came along.

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- Indeed. I've never been to Australia. I've never even left the continent I was born on. I am reasonably sure it exists, though, based on all the second-hand data that I've seen. I even know a fair bit about stuff you can find there, like the Crow Fishers and the Bullet Farm and the Sugartown Cabaret.
  
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  Permanently Deleted
  
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  If you are interested there is no direct evidence that Shakespeare ever went to Italy, but he knew plenty of people who did, and travel guides were popular at the time. 13 of his plays are at least partially set in Italy. So about 1/3rd.
  
  Pretty impressive.
  
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Given the piece's roping in Simulators and Simulacra I highly recommend this piece looking at the same topic through the same lens but in the other direction to balance it out:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vJFdjigzmcXMhNTsx/simulators

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- Just in case anyone lucker than I am hasn't read that work:
  
  Because of our mastery over information the copy of something is often seen as more real than the original. If you saw a movie poster of Marilyn Monroe you would identifier that image as her, but the real Marilyn Monroe is a decomposing skeleton. The simulacra has become the reality.
  
  Also every viewpoint is now binary for some reason and porn is fun to look at.
  
  The rest is just 20th century anti-structurlism post modern garbage about the breakdown of meta narratives. As if I am supposed to give a fuck that no one wants to spend four years of their life reading Hegel and some people enjoy fusion cuisine.
  
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  Something you might find interesting given our past discussions is that the way that the Gospel of Thomas uses the Greek eikon instead of Coptic (what the rest of the work is written in), that through the lens of Plato's ideas of the form of a thing (eidelon), the thing itself, an attempt at an accurate copy of the thing (eikon), and the embellished copy of the thing (phantasm), one of the modern words best translating the philosophical context of eikon in the text would arguably be 'simulacra.'
  
  So wherever the existing English translations use 'image' replace that with 'simulacra' instead and it will be a more interesting and likely accurate read.
  
  (Was just double checking an interlinear copy of Plato's Sophist to make sure this train of thought was correct, inspired by the discussion above.)
  
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- Errrrm... No. Don't get your philosophy from LessWrong.
  
  Here's the part of the LessWrong page that cites Simulacra and Simulation:
  
  Like “agent”, “simulation” is a generic term referring to a deep and inevitable idea: that what we think of as the real can be run virtually on machines, “produced from miniaturized units, from matrices, memory banks and command models - and with these it can be reproduced an indefinite number of times.”
  
  This last quote does indeed come from Simulacra (you can find it in the third paragraph here), but it appears to have been quoted solely because when paired with the definition of simulation put forward by the article:
  
  A simulation is the imitation of the operation of a real-world process or system over time.
  
  it appears that Baudrillard supports the idea that a computer can just simulate any goddamn thing we want it to.
  
  If you are familiar with the actual arguments Baudrillard makes, or simply read the context around that quote, it is obvious that this is misappropriating the text.
  
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  Baudrillard is always a joy to read.
  
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  I'm guessing you didn't read the rest of the piece and were just looking for the first thing to try and invalidate further reading?
  
  If you read the whole thing, it's pretty clear the author is not saying that the recreation is a perfect copy of the original.
  
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It's just history repeating itself. We've seen dotcom bubble, web 2.0 rush, nft fiasco and now AI. All fueled by VC greed. On top of that in today's world companies try to get as much data as possible and so called AI is the perfect tool for that.

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Two things IMO

Your data, more of it.

Using power, mostly to justify the existence of their giant machinery, the Cloud. These machines are used because they HAVE to be used. Bitcoin, nft, now ai everything.
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Companies are training LLMs on all the data that they can find, but this data is not the world, but discourse about the world.

I mean, the same can be said for your own senses. "You" are actually just a couple of kilograms of pink jelly sealed in a bone shell, being stimulated by nerves that lead out to who knows what. Most likely your senses are giving you a reasonably accurate view of the world outside but who can really tell for sure?

So, as these LLMs become increasingly but asymptotically fluent, tantalizingly close to accuracy but ultimately incomplete, developers complain that they are short on data.

Don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good. If an LLM is able to get asymptotically close to accurate (for whatever measure of "accurate" you happen to be using) then that's really super darned good. Probably even good enough. You wouldn't throw out an AI translator or artist or writer just because there's one human out there that's "better" than it.

AI doesn't need to be "complete" for it to be incredible.

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- I do sorta see the argument. We don't fully see with our eyes, we also see with our mind. So the LLM is learning about how we see the world. Like a scanner darkly hehe.
  
  Not really sure how big of a deal this is it or even if it is a problem. I need to know what the subjective taste of a recipe is, not the raw data of what it is physically.
  
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Self-proclaimed luddite? Well that's certainly a choice lol. Have fun being perpetually confused and angry I guess.

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- Yes, this type of luddite: https://thenib.com/im-a-luddite/
  
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