Instead of sending them to jail, which is bad but they would at least have a roof and food, they will probably take their sleeping gear on cold days to make sure not all survive. Then they will probably still try to blame it on anyone trying to help the homeless, as can be expected from fascists.

is just not something that Iran would ever do, for religious and moral reasons.

That is a good point.

Perhaps Iran could find a middle ground between nukes and doing nothing of the sort, like destroying all power generation of the colonists next time sothing happens or even iradiating oil wells, or just holding the US responsible for the colonists attacks because if they are already sending missiles to one nuclear armed entity they might as well send to two.!?

Either way, this attack has shown that they can and will do something, but how much they are willing to do against the imperialists is indeed still an open question.

Very interesting article and these points are pretty interesting themselves:

Firstly, one of the common counterarguments is that Israel possesses nuclear weapons, which ultimately trumps anything Iran can throw at them. But in reality, now that Iran has proven the ability to penetrate Israel, Iran too can cause nuclear devastation by striking the Israeli Dimona nuclear power plant. Destroyed nuclear plants would produce far more radioactive chaos than the relatively ‘clean’ modern nuclear weapons. Furthermore, Israel is much smaller than the comparatively gigantic Iran. Iran can take many nuclear hits and survive; but a single mass nuclear event in Israel could irradiate the entire country, making it uninhabitable.

This by itself is a pretty big point, and with Iran's "New Equation" of responding "head on" to further colonist entity attacks on its personnel this could indeed mark a big shift in the dynamics of the region.

And that's only the cotst of defence. I don't think we know yet how much actual damage there was and if Iran managed to destroy just one air defence system this price tag could possibly double.

It would be very interesting to see Germany get couped, leading it to be more subservient to the US and leading to its, and Europe's, faster breakdown.

Does no one remember Laos?

Either way, the more the better!

Even if that port doesn't matter the blockade is still taking the colonialist entity from being along the route between Asia and Europe to being at the tail end of a new and much longer route with smaller throughput.

Are there as many ships going there now that ships are in smaller supply and the nearby countries could all be served by Chinese/Russian or even their own ships going straight through the Suez? I don't know the numbers exactly but I doubt it's something they can just brush off.

I agree with you, but if Iran wasn't thinking much about having nukes they probably should take this as a sign of things to come if they don't get some. Unless they do act on this aggression, even if only diplomatically/economically.

China has had a few years to be prepared for such things and has an idea of what can happen based on Ukraine so they do have a few different approaches, like seting a red line and nuking the US immediately after it's crossed or what I think is more likely, do nothing in regards to this intrusion other than station boats between the yankees and China while increasing decolonization efforts and sending weapons to Yemen and Russia, supporting a possible takeover of Ukraine while trying to push the more trobolesome elements of Ukraine to flee to the EU so they start causing trouble there.

Taking the opportunity of the colonialists probably not accepting the UNSC cease fire proposal to sanction them and key western industries related to them with the BRICS and Global South, increasing the cost of genocide to the whole west could also be a good move. And although I don't expect China going against the west in a more direct way diplomatically this could be the time for them to get maximum return on whatever they do, specially if they are already going to be blamed for it one way or another.

With the Yemeni enforced blockade I was thinking about this too but with the Panama Canal and how it closing could be a massive boost for the Global South by making resource transportation very expensive and such things, but looking at it now it apparently is, or was recently, already being affected by draught losing one third of normal traffic. So I guess anything else impeding or slowing global trade in the next few months could have massive consequences when taken toghether with the other events.

lol

Hadn't thought about this but now I'm wondering what else was projection.

I admit things would change if Russia could suppress entirely or nearly entirely France’s nuclear strike capability and say air-burst a nuclear weapon outside Paris to intentionally cause an EMP effect to bring down the power grid and electronics but not directly kill that many people.

The first part is what I was just thinking about as well. Avoiding a nuclear strike by using conventional strikes while striking nukes to really send the message, and if they can destroy enough of if it they can just say that MAD doesn't work between them anymore and ask for terms for peace, like France getting out of NATO or something like that.

But about the EMP that could be a good idea, specially considering the damage that could cause to the EU's economy if it destroys many factories and such. Althou I'm not sure how much damage it would do to nearby countries as I think the it needs to be blown up quite high up and has a big range but I might be mistaken.

Though I am unsure conventional weapons will do anything but make Macron angry, it may be the the fact we are that the point that only a nuclear illustration will sober the west and Macron may be so deranged he will only double down in the face of that and use French nuclear weapons.

Russia kind of has to use nukes here because if they don't NATO is just going to increase troops to Ukraine little by litte and will obviously use Ukraine, at first, and their own forces later to attack inside Russia as well, but will Russia really do it? Or at least something close to it?

I remember them not doing much when the colonialists used one of Russia's planes as a shield to attack Syria. They did get the colonialists to stop attacking the north of Syria after that I think but will they continue not doing much in this case too or will they finally show where the red line is?

I'd guess, if they can indeed project power there, it would mostly be the ships coming from the middle east itself. Unless they got long range drones or a submarine that we don't know about.

It is a training to test systems, soldiers/sailors and tactics.

So, as an example, for something like this they could have all the ships working as a unit advancing towards a target while maintaining a certain formation to see if they can do it without problems. Perhaps even with a submarine acts as an enemy trying to get close or they can also have drones fly toward them to simulate air attacks so that the ships can blow them up to see if everything works as it should.

Well except continue training Nazi terrorists to attack Russia

With their support from the population they may decide it's better to turn on NATO asking for land or other things.

Frankly in the face of the neocons I suspect there can be no peace, without such a show of force as a limited nuclear strike at minimum

This is an interesting possibility for avoiding WWIII, but what kind of target would be hit?

Breaking the frontlines wouldn't really be possible I think especially with Russia's own troops nearby, so perhaps an attack against a logistics base behind the frontline or even going for the NATO countries' base far at the rear so NATO couldn't say they got attacked in their own territories?

Another possibility could be a nuclear attack against the first country Russia engages with, but I'm not sure they would do that.

And if they fight these new soldiers, which will probably happen even if by mistake, will Russia also consider it an act of war from the new participant countries and will they attack their territory for it?

then how would continuing to stay and waste resources

Never forget that the bourgeoisie is being paid a lot for those resources and I doubt the politicians that serve them and also take some profit from this are in any hurry to stop.

The sionists declared Lula persona non grata in the colonialists stolen land and demanded he take back what he said. Lula said he would do no such thing and there was an official note from Brazil saying it is them who must apologize, but not to Brazil but to the world.

There was quite a lot more too but I guess that's the basic idea. As an extra note, when the fighting started and many people were being allowed out of Gaza to return to their countries the sionists did not allow the Brazilians out for a long time because Brazil had said things against the genocide then as well.