I think what you want to do is go into your db vm and run a DD or fio or bonnie++ that is at least 2 x the VM RAM, and see what the steady-state disk performance is.
15-30ms latency seems reasonable for that hardware (P420 in RAID 10 with 4x4TB 7k SAS HDDs.)
Basically your single SAS disk can do ~150IOPS random, so worst case of 4k random reads you will get ~600KBps.
For the migration if it's sequential (depending on filesystem layout), the performance can be different, up to maximum streaming performance of like 100MBs for large sequential reads.