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Why Is This Election Even Close?
  • Does anyone know if "already voted" people are included in prospective voter polls? If they are excluded, we might be seeing a shift in polling towards Trump because his supporters vote day-of more than Harris voters.

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    Trump faces a P.R. disaster
  • What, pray tell, do you think the Russian P-tape is? It has nothing to do with urine. The letters that follow the P are E D and O.

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    What happens if there’s a tie in 2024? Be ready for a ‘contingent election’
  • I was just explaining this concept to someone about the 2016 polls: all the posters thought of PA,MI, and WI as independent. Each had a 50% chance of going to Trump and he needed all three to win. So they projected him winning at (1/2)^3=1 in 8 chance of winning. Then they found out that those three were correlated.

    I would say if Trump wins WI he wins PA and MI; and if Harris wins PA she wins WI and MI; BUT, if Trump wins PA he is not guaranteed a win in WI nor Harris winning WI guarantees a PA win.

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    What happens if there’s a tie in 2024? Be ready for a ‘contingent election’
  • What happens if there is a projected tie, but then we have a faithless elector?

    Imagine the shit show if Trump secured enough republicans to vote for him in a tie breaking scenario, and then they open the ballots and see one Trump vote go for Romney or something.

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    Trump’s Promise to Young Men: I Am Your Retribution Against Women
  • “men should get to vote for their wives” = "Let's promote mail in voting! Who cares about voting privacy, it's easier, thus we will get a higher turnout!"

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    I wasn’t able to get an abortion. Now I’m raising my rapist’s baby
  • There was a study, which I cannot find anymore despite searching for it on google scholar for a half hour, where they looked at a group of people's sexual encounters over a month.

    If you expanded 'rape' to be under the age of consent, one or more people involve had alcohol, one or more people were clinically 'drowsy' or asleep, verbal consent never was obtained, or type of sex act or use/none use of condom were not agreed upon by both parties; the researchers found roughly 50% of all sexual encounters in this group could be classified as rape in one way or another.

    Makes you wonder what percent of the population is conceived via something that is technically rape.

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    The Very Real Scenario Where Trump Loses and Takes Power Anyway
  • In the event of a electoral system collapse, the BIOS of government is "who would the military support?"

    Harris wins enough states to get to 270 and then (Some electoral votes get sent wrong/don't get sent and congress/SCOTUS rules Trump the winner), Harris asked the military "who do you support?" and it might be Trump is put in jail by the military before he can be sworn in. Sets a bad "president", but if you throw out the rules to win, expect the other side to do the same.

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    Odessa bans transgender people from using restrooms that don’t match sex assigned at birth.
  • That's a shame. I thought Ukraine was leaning more towards inclusion. Russia is invading your country and you are waisting time on this? Odesa is like an hour away from Kherson and...

    Oh, Odessa Texas. Ya, I can see a backwater place like that doing something like this.

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    Radio station uses AI to interview the ghost of a dead Nobel-winner with 3 quirky zoomers who don't exist, seems baffled people don't like it
  • Lister: "Rimmer, death isn't the handicap it used to be in the olden days. It doesn't screw your career up like it used to."

    Rimmer: "That's what they say, Lister, but if you had two people coming for a job and one of them was dead, which one would you pick?"

    Lister "It depends which is better qualified."

    Rimmer "Bullpats. When was the last time you saw a dead newsreader?"

    Lister "Channel 27 had a hologram reading the news."

    Rimmer "Oh. Groovy, funky Channel 27. Big smegging deal. You livies hate us deadies."

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