The Asian Developments Bank: “Why 100% Renewable Generation Won’t Bring Energy Security”; ADB is wrong though
The Asian Developments Bank: “Why 100% Renewable Generation Won’t Bring Energy Security”; ADB is wrong though
Please don't downvote this because this is a bad opinion.
Of course it's a bad opinion. I'm sharing this here because I want to talk about it being a bad opinion.
Why is it a bad opinion?
I actually agree with the basic premise but reject the conclusion. I agree that 100% renewable energy cannot bring about energy security in the context of endless growth, but I reject the conclusion that therefore we need to keep burning fossil fuels. The solution, I think, is for degrowth, a coordinated scaling down of production of worthless things while at the same time scaling up provisions of human well being. Make more homes, less golf courses. Make more vegetables and grains for human consumption rather than animal feed. Fund hospitals, not wars. If we scale back production while at the same time meeting a high level of human needs, 100% renewable energy will certainly be enough for human needs. 100% renewable energy will never be enough for capitalist endless growth, but it will be enough for a solarpunk future.
Published: 7 September 2015
This is nearly a decade old. Since then prices for wind and solar have come down a lot. Solar panels were at 0.68$/W in 2015 and ended up at 0,26$/W in 2022. This obviously makes renewables more competitive. Also looking at current UN population projections. They project peak population in Asia in 2055. Less people means less consumption. So that should help. Some countries, like China, Japan and South Korea have declining populations today.
So honestly it is a built it once and then just keep it running kind of situation. Obviously Asias countries are in very different situations as well. Pakistan really should improve the material condition of its population, whereas Japan, should focus on replacing its fossil fuel infrastructure.
9Good to know then.
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If you think something is a bad opinion, I strongly recommend putting that (and why) in the headline - on reddit (and presumably lemmy) only a tiny fraction of people who see the headline read anything else. This means that inaccurate takes in the headline get distributed widely, while truth in the body is seen by a few.
7Alright then
2Thanks
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Why do you care about downvotes? They don't mean anything, and some of us can't even see them.
5The main thrust of the argument seems to be two fold - it‘s not 100% is (almost nothing is) and it costs a lot upfront (so do fossil-fuel plants). Smells like like some serious astroturfing to me
The rest of your argument? The only thing I see missing is transport. It needs to scale to global levels and be free with respect to both carbon and cash
I would recommend reading Kim Stanley Robinson for better ideas than I could ever give - The Ministry for the Future and New York 2140 spring to mind.
5Haven't read those but I greatly enjoyed his four books, the Mars Trilogy and the additional Martian short story collection. Quite a bit of Mars Trilogy was inspired by the political philosophy of Murray Bookchin, now appreciated for anticipating a lot of the political philosophy behind solarpunk and degrowth.
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