Q1 profits. It happens to some extent every year between Thanksgiving and early February. It helps the books for Q1. 1rst earnings calls of the year mean more than they should.
Shulman adds: "They're getting away with it because everybody is doing it. And they're getting away with it because now it's the new normal," he said. "Workers are more comfortable with it, stock investors are appreciating it, and so I think we'll see it continue for some time."
ughh this makes my blood boil
yeah workers are "OK" with it, yeah, no, they're too fucking terrified they're next to do anything about it
well i mean yeah. but unionizing would be the thing to do about it. it's just hard because people are scared for their job and scared to be out of a job right now, so they don't want to take the risk. even though it's fairly obvious that it's a bigger risk not to...
Unions can't stop layoffs - at best they can just change the order in which employees are laid off (First-in Last-out / seniority), I guess the process might make the company reconsider, but there's no direct intervention.
I'm a member of a union and went through layoffs.
I think it'd only change if unions had power on the board / guaranteed share ownership, etc. as is the case in Germany (board representation with workers' councils) and was proposed but rejected in Sweden (share ownership).
There was also a certain level of "denial of talent" competition among the tech giants. Hire any vaguely competent people event if practically useless so the competition doesn't get them. It works only if you have infinite money (as in 0 interest rates) which is not the case any more.
There hasn’t been the same purge here in Europe. I think the US tech industry is very large, and covid saw demand surge, resulting in a lot of hiring. Demand slumped which led to this. We’re not seeing the same purge in other industries. Headcount just needs to normalise again, which I think won’t take much longer. Unfortunately there is a compounding factor: interest rates. Tech was propped up by free money. Without that, we might see larger structural issues in the industry. If companies start failing then we enter a new phase in the layoffs.
As others stated a small portion of that was due to over-hiring, some to follow the layoff trend and some to make the earnings call look good.
But from what some experts are saying; there's also another factor, which is even worse.
There's a looming threat of a recession hitting in a few months (which is said to be a much bigger recession than the post-Covid one).
And this recession will be tied to the Commercial Real-Estate Bubble.
They are saying that it will be like the 2009 Mortgage Crisis and will be very disruptive.
There's this theory that companies are reducing their headcount to prepare for this recession by reducing their expenses to the minimum. Which makes sense.
For the companies without savings that is a must but the ugly part is that you see big names with huge amounts of money in the bank laying off people as well.
Well, because they don't want to invest that money on the people, they will use all that money to buy smaller companies when the recession hits.
All big tech with enough money in the bank is rooting for the recession to happen so they can buy everything for very cheap and grow even more.
I don’t get how there’s any connection. Sure, it sucks to own commercial real estate, or be one of the service companies that grew up to support office work, but isn’t the whole problem being that tech and other large companies no longer want to pay for that? This should be a bonanza for tech companies, saving billions of dollars that formerly went toward renting office space. Why aren’t we expecting a tech company boom?
The anticipation is not that it'll hurt the tech companies, but the economy as a whole. A generalized economic slowdown impacts everyone, even if you specifically benefited from it.
If I could tell you exactly how it'll unfold, I'd be using that to make a lot of money instead. It's not even certain that it will happen.
Commercial real estate was for a long time a roughly predictable investment, and profitable.
Now profitability is severely reduced because people, including tech companies, are cutting their usage.
If the market collapses, it's unclear how far down it'll drag the economy, so companies are bracing for it to be bad.
I think there is a bigger chance of people starting to default on their student debts and on their stupid car loans than the commercial real estate alone causing anything.
You can literally just convert office buildings into apartments if you want.
I think another thing that isn’t being talked about with these layoffs, which would call for more unionization and policy making, is that “AI” is taking over these jobs.
Also when companies merge, there are “redundant” employees. So like the recent Microsoft layoffs, those were going to happen.
Last year was, by all accounts, a bloodbath for the tech industry, with more than 260,000 jobs vanishing — the worst 12 months for Silicon Valley since the dot-com crash of the early 2000s.
Now in 2024, tech company workforces have largely returned to pre-pandemic levels, inflation is half of what it was this time last year and consumer confidence is rebounding.
Yet, in the first four weeks of this year, nearly 100 tech companies, including Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, TikTok and Salesforce have collectively let go of about 25,000 employees, according to layoffs.fyi, which tracks the technology sector.
All of the major tech companies conducting another wave of layoffs this year are sitting atop mountains of cash and are wildly profitable, so the job-shedding is far from a matter of necessity or survival.
Some smaller tech startups are running out of cash and facing fundraising struggles with the era of easy money now over, which has prompted workforce reductions.
If it appears as if an entire sector is experiencing a downward shift, Pfeffer argues, it takes the focus off of any single individual company — which provides cover for layoffs that are undertaken to make up for bad decisions that led to investments or strategies not paying off.
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How much of those were in office jobs versus work from home? I mean, with the whole back to office push, is your job safe in the office or more likely it's all been just more "cat playing with a mouse"?
Which is kinda ironic because all those targets are commitments between the C-levels and the board/shareholders. So if the C-levels can't meet their commitments, then they should be the first ones fired.
well i mean yeah. but unionizing would w_the thing_ to do about it. it's just hard because people are scared for their job and scared to be out of a job right now, so they don't want to take the risk. even though it's fairly obvious that it's a bigger risk not to...
That's not what the article says. The article is saying that was true last year that the hiring spree was over optimistic and needed correction. Now that is not the case, but there's a weird knock on effect where the market has rewarded this behavior companies keep tightening to continue being rewarded. And there's a heard mentality where if company A gets rewarded by the market for layoffs, company B faces scrutiny from major shareholders not to do the same.
I think the initial correction of layoffs kind of made sense a year ago, but this article makes me think there is something not cool happening as it keeps continuing.
The "rewarding" theory is probably true. That's why so many people were hired to begin with. Boards were like "if we don't hire, we'll fall behind!" So they over-hired. Now they're like "we can easily hire more later. Fire these losers."
So you basically trained a ton of people on your internal systems and let them go? And you think randos will be able to pick up the slack when you need them in 12 months?
These companies are so dumb. Aren't they growth companies? Don't they have moonshots to work on or any good ideas for the future these people can contribute to? It's like they became big and lost the ability to innovate.