How did he know?

Ranked choice voting

75

STAR voting actually accomplishes what ranked choice aims to do.

14
- At this point I'll take any improvement
  
  56
- My main problem with STAR is that it seems to me like you should always give the highest available score to all candidates you don't mind winning and give the other candidates a zero, because you know there are people giving the highest possible score to your dispreferred candidates and you want to offset their score total as much as possible.
  
  So I feel like strategic voting would mostly trivialize STAR into a form of approval voting, which would still overly benefit the powers-that-be since most people would approve of the established candidates while fewer people would approve of the other candidates, who might be able to eke out a majority in ranked choice voting since they might be higher ranked than the established candidates.
  
  But maybe I'm just not seeing the other strategic dimensions to giving the middle scores to some candidates.
  
  Edit: The link by @themeatbridge is a very good explanation of the benefits of STAR over ranked choice voting! I for one am convinced.
  
  23
- Would STAR voting be your preferred voting method? If so, why's that?
  
  2
- Ahaha, yes, but have you perhaps considered the schulze method?
  
  2
I used to be of this opinion, however, after reading this article, I am now more in favor of something like approval voting or score voting.

1
Ranked choice is stupid and not needed. Just let people vote for as many candidates they want and choose the one or the ones that get the most votes.

-22
- TIL about another way of voting—does it have an official name. My gut reaction is that while multiple votes would usually result in the same thing as rank choice votes, there is less preference information in your method. I suspect that it might end up electing less politically extreme candidates than ranked choice voting, but I feel like I could be wrong about that.
  
  I do like the simplicity of your multiple votes method. I think it is easy to explain to people who maybe are off-put by ranked voting or other slightly more complex ways.
  
  I think I would prefer ranked, but I would take pretty much anything to improve our system.
  
  9
- You'd have to scrap the presidential system then and move to a parliamentary system, since the presidential election is inherently fptp.
  
  Also be aware that with a pure proportional system you'll lose greatly in government stability, and I'm telling you as an Italian. The average duration of our governments is like on one point something years
  
  4
- Always thinking of ways they can game the system. I'd imagine they would just flood the ballot with names and tell their base the 50 or so people they would need to vote for.
  
  1
- Ranked choice is stupid and not needed.
  
  What is your argument for this? Personally, my argument would be that its level of complication might be too much for a general election. Overall, though, it can be quite good. At the very least, it should be better than FPTP.
  
  Just let people vote for as many candidates they want and choose the one or the ones that get the most votes.
  
  What you are describing is a voting system called "approval voting", which is actually quite good.
  
  1

"Why... WHY did you succumb to this problem that we foresaw but did nothing to prevent!?"

41

To be fair, most of Washington's concerns about political parties were about tribalism more generally.

5
Was about to say, this is the result of the voting system they adopted, we're just stuck with it for the moment

4
- Washington was not a dictator, and decidedly so?
  
  4

To be fair, the two party system was a natural evolution within the government structure created by the Founding Fathers. Whether or not any individual president was a fan or not would never have prevented it.

34

Yeah, but they didn't have game theory then. Democracy was kind of new too. Basically all non-monarchists were allies, because they literally had to fight actual kings to rule themselves.

It's not the founders' fault that they didn't foresee all future problems. They included the ability to amend the Constitution. It's our fault for not doing that. Originalism makes no sense because the founders wanted us to change what they had done and improve it.

39
- It’s not the founders’ fault that they didn’t foresee all future problems. They included the ability to amend the Constitution. It’s our fault for not doing that. Originalism makes no sense because the founders wanted us to change what they had done and improve it.
  
  The Founding Fathers: "We're not gods or kings. That's literally the opposite of what we fought for."
  
  Originalists: "OMG God-King Founding Daddies pls rule me from beyond the grave"
  
  31
- A lot also said every 20 years the Constitution needed rewritten, because expecting such a powerful document to remain relevant over such a long period of time was unthinkable to them...
  
  10
- Iirc, №10 of the Federalist papers is specifically about how an overly strong federal government would lead to a 2 faction system, suggesting that the smaller states could more easily maintain multi-faction representative groups. But over the centuries, the federal government has become more proportionally powerful, which is a fact I'm sure all the non-monarchists would be horrified by.
  
  9
- Yes and no.
  
  The Founding Fathers created the State in a manner that supported their interests, hence why it structurally supported wealthy Capitalists and slave owning white men most of all.
  
  Over time, this has been amended, Black Americans were emancipated and every citizen can vote now, including women, but only via constant struggle against the system.
  
  2

This was already seen well before he was even done being president. By 1800 it's obvious the 2 party dysfunction was well in motion.

I think that podcast American Elections: Wicked Game tells some of that story pretty well of the early political fighting and party divisions.

25

And both the Federalists and the Democratic Republicans were awful.

8

Lotta people trash talking Washington but I don’t think ever actually read anything about him or read anything of substance he’s written.

But as it is easy to foresee that, from different causes and from different quarters, much pains will be taken, many artifices employed to weaken in your minds the conviction of this truth; as this is the point in your political fortress against which the batteries of internal and external enemies will be most constantly and actively (though often covertly and insidiously) directed, it is of infinite moment that you should properly estimate the immense value of your national union to your collective and individual happiness; that you should cherish a cordial, habitual, and immovable attachment to it; accustoming yourselves to think and speak of it as of the palladium of your political safety and prosperity; watching for its preservation with jealous anxiety; discountenancing whatever may suggest even a suspicion that it can in any event be abandoned; and indignantly frowning upon the first dawning of every attempt to alienate any portion of our country from the rest, or to enfeeble the sacred ties which now link together the various parts.

….

In contemplating the causes which may disturb our Union, it occurs as matter of serious concern that any ground should have been furnished for characterizing parties by geographical discriminations, Northern and Southern, Atlantic and Western; whence designing men may endeavor to excite a belief that there is a real difference of local interests and views. One of the expedients of party to acquire influence within particular districts is to misrepresent the opinions and aims of other districts. You cannot shield yourselves too much against the jealousies and heartburnings which spring from these misrepresentations; they tend to render alien to each other those who ought to be bound together by fraternal affection.

….

However combinations or associations of the above description may now and then answer popular ends, they are likely, in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people and to usurp for themselves the reins of government, destroying afterwards the very engines which have lifted them to unjust dominion.

And probably the most relatable to today:

I have already intimated to you the danger of parties in the State, with particular reference to the founding of them on geographical discriminations. Let me now take a more comprehensive view, and warn you in the most solemn manner against the baneful effects of the spirit of party generally.

This spirit, unfortunately, is inseparable from our nature, having its root in the strongest passions of the human mind. It exists under different shapes in all governments, more or less stifled, controlled, or repressed; but, in those of the popular form, it is seen in its greatest rankness, and is truly their worst enemy.

The alternate domination of one faction over another, sharpened by the spirit of revenge, natural to party dissension, which in different ages and countries has perpetrated the most horrid enormities, is itself a frightful despotism. But this leads at length to a more formal and permanent despotism. The disorders and miseries which result gradually incline the minds of men to seek security and repose in the absolute power of an individual; and sooner or later the chief of some prevailing faction, more able or more fortunate than his competitors, turns this disposition to the purposes of his own elevation, on the ruins of public liberty.

Without looking forward to an extremity of this kind (which nevertheless ought not to be entirely out of sight), the common and continual mischiefs of the spirit of party are sufficient to make it the interest and duty of a wise people to discourage and restrain it.

It serves always to distract the public councils and enfeeble the public administration. It agitates the community with ill-founded jealousies and false alarms, kindles the animosity of one part against another, foments occasionally riot and insurrection. It opens the door to foreign influence and corruption, which finds a facilitated access to the government itself through the channels of party passions. Thus the policy and the will of one country are subjected to the policy and will of another.

Y’all should read his farewell speech. It’s like he was a time traveler, and why this meme says “I told you so”.

22

The real dumb thing about Washington was that he foresaw the danger of parties (not that hard, considering England had had parties for over a century by then) but thought just warning people not to do it would suffice to stop their formation.

17
- What can you realistically do to stop the formation of parties without trampling on other rights? Cooperation and organization are effective means of gaining power so parties were always going to form.
  
  Reforming campaign finance rules and abandoning first-past-the-post voting is more a long the lines of what I would do to make elections more democratic, rather than try to ban parties.
  
  5
- Is it the dumb thing about Washington? Or is it dumb of them to not listen?
  
  1
- Washinton is the reason the United States does not have a king.
  
  0
I heard that motherfucker had like... thirty goddamn dicks.

7
- He'll save the children but not the British children
  
  5
Eh I saw Hamilton twice so I'm an expert now.

(Puts on cast recording for the 10,000th time)

1
- Your welcome
  
  1

Political parties in general. The problems specific to a two-party systems weren't understood yet. Being that the United States was figuring out how a modern democracy should work as it went, that's not surprising.

21

The founders went for a "winner takes all" system, and the two party system emerged from that, as an unforseen (but natural) consequence.

5

How? He looked at history, and every two-party system that came before.

17

Washington is a broken clock right twice a day, tbh. That guy owned half the slaves in Mount Vernon. He didn't have any idea how to fix society, modern middle schoolers could debate him and win.

14

tbf, middle schoolers are from the future for him

10
In 2324 we will look much stupider to those looking back.

2
- Yeah but unlike Washington I can blame all of my wanton aggression and apathy on lead and plastic pollution. Checkmate, futurepeople, you're held to the logical moral standards of understanding the outcomes of complex nuances of (currently) modern systems of society! Eat my shorts!
  
  0

Many countries without the two party system have the same problems though

11

That's literally the point

2
- what
  
  10
- Not so, my literal friend. The post was about the literal concept of the two party system being the reason for the current malaise, which can be literally disproven by the fact that its absence does not guarantee a different outcome.
  
  1

This where entrenched lobbying, corruption and bribery has taken us. Corporations are NOT "people."

5

In such times, the lessons of history seemed less distant.

5

Don’t you say that about my FOunDinG DaDdy!!

4

My greatest wish for this election season is that everyone would just vote for Taylor Swift. I personally don’t care much for her music, but she has a lot of popularity right now and I think she would do a better job than anyone else currently running. The biggest plus is it would be someone under 60! I realize this is all fantasy, but someone brought this up in the comments of a post about her urging people to vote and I can’t stop thinking about it.

3

If somebody is to make a 3rd or 4th party, how much and how long will it take for them to be able to compete with the other 2?

3

It entirely depends on what you mean. We've had a functioning libertarian party for a while, they've gotten far enough to get on the ballots in a couple presidential races and libertarian candidates have won local elections. We've had fairly strong socialist parties before the red scare era.

Now the libertarians kind of sucks shit, so maybe they're a bad barometer to go off of? Maybe a super populist party would take off in a decade or two, maybe it would just flounder with the same success of the libertarian party. Part of the problem is that political opinions in the US are largely formed around binaries associated with either party, so while a new party might form, it would probably get chucked into a "left" or "right" bucket and flounder in obscurity like the green party.

10
- We have to work together to reform voting. FPTP is bullshit and the two big parties have it locked down. Libertarians and Greens have to sue states every election to get them to follow the rules.
  
  4
The Bull Moose party was closest we've had to an actual 3rd party. That was only because Teddy Roosevelt was running it and he was a previous president.

I assume it is possible with the modern day ability to communicate and organize. Getting a 3rd name on every state ballot will take some ground work. It might be easier, but we would need someone to get behind. Like a REAL leader and not a "pop culture icon." I vote to get that Shawn Fain guy. He is kicking ass in the auto union, so I think he would fight for the working class all around.

5
- That was only because Teddy Roosevelt was running it and he was a previous president.
  
  Not just a previous president, but TEDDY fuckin ROOSEVELT.
  
  He had all the same (imagined) qualities that make people who like Trump like that idiot, but he used them for good.
  
  A man's man who said it like it was and took no bullshit. Knew shit was fucked and that it needed cleaning out and said so to get elected.
  
  Even had a bit of a cult of personality going, Teddy Bears yakno?
  
  Not perfect or anything, but looking at Teddy I can understand to a degree why people can get swept away by big personalities.
  
  7
I would say we recently saw this happen, it's just that the tea party overtook the republicans from within in about a decade.

3
The problem is the focus on Presidential politics.

Third parties should start local or state level. Focus on a specific platform. Keep allied to or working between the other two parties nationally.

Win local and state house elections. Then move up from there.

3