2 mo. ago • 85%

Biden won't drop out unless polls say 'there's no way you can win'

www.cnbc.com Biden won't drop out unless polls say 'there's no way you can win'

42 comments

...THATS WHAT THE POLLS SAY!!!

47
- The gambling odds have started to show a significantly better chance for Kamala winning than Biden now, it's an interesting shift.
  
  And, those odds aren't odds that only take affect if she is made the nominee, there's no prerequisites there, it's generic odds of just Kamala running and winning the election period.
  
  21
  
  Yeah. People are cleaning up on polymarket.
  
  1
- Hey, the nature of probabilities with uncertainty is that they'll never reach zero, he'll just have a 0.005% chance of win, which is technically not "no way". Checkmate bedwetters.
  
  6
- Source?
  
  6
  
  I have that user marked as "a fucking idiot" so he likely doesn't have a source
  
  9
- He doesn't remember.
  
  4
If he loses either Pennsylvania or Michigan, he can't win.

He doesn't have to lose both of them, just losing one or the other puts him underwater.

So how is that going?

PA - Trump +3 to +7.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/

MI - Biden +5 to +6.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/

42
- Erf, and fivethirtyeight is one of the poll sites that tends to be pretty accurate =/
  
  6
  
  I heard they actually lost their statistician who originally set the whole thing up. I'm expecting a decline in quality. Wikipedia says the original guy, Nate Silver left and created his own website last year. Natesilver.net
  
  16
“But I get overwhelming support. Overwhelming support. I won ... I forget how many votes I won in the primary, overwhelming.”

I mean as only one running in it one would hope so

37
After reading all the comments on here and all of our social media, we don't need an official poll. Even the staunchest of Democrats are now saying the same thing that many of us have been saying for over 4 years.

19
- Unless Obama personally drags him behind the woodshed I don't see him dropping out. His hubris is too strong, and his identity is too connected to his political career. This was never about the country. It was always exclusively about Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, and Joe Biden's egos.
  
  18
  
  No one - I mean absolutely no one - runs for President without a high level of ego and narcissism. Who the fuck thinks they are best suited to "lead the free world"? No one with an ounce of humility.
  
  23
  
  Maybe, if you think about it, your country is pretty much built on ego?
  
  5
  
  Yeah, I'm so sick and tired of people delicately tiptoeing around these people because "whatabout their LEGACY". I can assure there are very few Americans that GAF about Biden's so-called legacy, but we keep having to play this stupid game.
  
  Again, I'll be voting for him if he's in the general. But I want the Democrats to win and I'm not too sure we aren't royally fucked if it's him on the ticket.
  
  2
I just did a poll on everyone who watched that press conference and it says, "there's no way you can win."

Ok...who's next?

16
With every news personality declaring it, regardless, the polls will eventually say that anyway

10
- The left deciding to eat itself just before such a vital election isn't surprising but it is weird
  
  3
  
  The liberals not the left. The left was warning you about slow walking Biden to the next election since he got elected. The liberals didn't listen. Now we're here because it wasn't convient to listen to the left four years ago.
  
  4
  
  Quit scapegoating and spreading misinformation. "The left" had fuck-all to do with this debacle.
  
  2
For good of the world. Drop out, Biden.

8
- Now do the racist rapist with 34 felonies. (newsflash, if it wasn't for that clown, Biden would be a non issue.)
  
  1
Permanently Deleted

7
- So in other words, damned if you do, damned if you don't
  
  2
- hiw is it that America is such a shithole compared to other countries
  
  1
And he already told us he doesn't believe the polls, so we're fucked.

3
- Or, he's lying. Just because he wants to build suspense.
  
  2
wellll wellll welll

1
It's too late to swap horses in this race. The time was two years ago, and the best hope now is that the "anyone but Trump" vote prevails.

1
- The “anyone but trump vote” is me. All these headlines are noise.
  
  See yall in November.
  
  8
  
  The Dem candidate isn't going to add any Trump votes.
  
  It's only going to establish how many Dems are enthusiastic enough to get off their butts.
  
  3
- The time was 4 years ago when leftists were calling his mental condition out. It was apparent then, even Obama lightly alluded to it several times.
  
  -2

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